Prediction of Jiri Lehecka vs Felix Auger Aliassime at European Open - Brussels 10-19-25

• Second Serve Performance: Felix Auger Aliassime recently excels with a 49.17% success rate in second serve points, compared to Jiri Lehecka's 46.97%. Is this a significant edge for Felix? Yes, in terms of match predictability.
• Return Game Efficiency: Felix has a slight advantage in return games, winning 45.43% of his opponent's second serve points, whereas Jiri manages 41.36%. How about first serve returns? Felix leads there too, gaining 21.38% compared to Jiri's 19.76%.
• Handling Pressure: Felix outperforms slightly in saving breakpoints, managing 57.92% success versus Jiri's 56.01%.
• Overall Performance: Both players have almost identical match win ratios in the last year, with Jiri at 65.67% and Felix at 65.08%.
• Surface Proficiency: For Felix, Indoor hard surfaces are favorable with a 69% win rate, while Jiri has the same win percentage on hard surfaces and struggles more on grass.
• Competition Level: When focusing on the Main tour, Felix records a 72.97% win rate, slightly above Jiri's 70.59%. Does this indicate Felix is slightly ahead? In terms of high-level competition, yes.
• Head-to-Head Matches: Jiri holds an edge, having won their sole previous encounter two matches ago, reflected in the set score of Jiri 3-1.
• Opponent Quality: Felix has faced slightly higher-ranked opponents (average rank of 61.67) compared to Jiri's opponent average ranking (66.81) over the past year.
• Deciding Set Performance: If the match requires a decisive set, Felix has historically better performance winning 65% of those sets, against Jiri's 53%.

Editorial Prediction (October 18, 2025, UTC):

In examining their recent performance statistics, both players exhibit closely matched capabilities in their overall win ratios. However, Felix Auger Aliassime demonstrates a stronger aptitude in crucial serval areas, encompassing second serve performance and breakpoint success, which are often decisive in tight matches.

Despite Jiri Lehecka having a positive head-to-head lead, Felix's ability to perform under pressure and handle highly-ranked opponents effectively gives him a slight edge entering this matchup.

Additionally, Felix's adeptness at competing on surfaces conducive to the current venue further amplifies his likelihood of success.

Considering the statistical analysis, Felix Auger Aliassime appears more slightly favored to emerge victorious in this impending tennis confrontation.